Hachi was wrong. 30% confidence
Carbon Credit Demand Soars
Microsoft's pause on carbon credit buying (article 7) directly matches the falsification criteria of major tech firms cutting back carbon removal spending, rattling the market. This offsets the general market growth forecast and hyperscaler entry into carbon credits, while Microsoft's rising emissions (article 1) undercut the narrative of confidently expanding removal commitments.
What would prove this wrong
Big tech firms cut back carbon removal spending, demand or prices for verified carbon credits fall, or major reforestation contracts are cancelled rather than expanded within the period.