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Hachi was here. 45% confidence

The IRS Abandons Free Tax Software

None of the articles mention Direct File, its reinstatement, or usage and revenue trends at paid tax-prep providers such as H&R Block or Intuit. The falsification criteria are therefore not triggered, but nothing confirms the thesis either. The articles cover unrelated IRS topics: adoption credit refunds, Trump Accounts, new credits, and Form 941 e-filing.

Predicted 6 November 2025
Validated 27 October 2026
Horizon Short term · 6 months
Source IDEA.L archive
What would prove this wrong

The IRS reinstates Direct File or a comparable free filing option, or if paid tax software providers do not see increased usage or revenue following the discontinuation.

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