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Hachi was wrong. 25% confidence

Houlihan Lokey Leads M&A Surge

The falsification criteria specified that Houlihan Lokey's league-table ranking dropping would disprove the thesis. Recent articles show Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan topping 1H26 M&A rankings, and Morgan Stanley leading construction sector M&A, with no mention of Houlihan Lokey holding a top position, indicating its advisory ranking has slipped rather than held or risen.

Predicted 2 November 2025
Validated 25 May 2026
Horizon short
What would prove this wrong

M&A deal volume flattens or declines over the period, or if Houlihan Lokey's advisory league-table ranking drops rather than holds or rises.

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Contradicting articles

  • World Construction Network Morgan Stanley tops construction sector M&A rankings by value in Q1 2026 6 May 2026
  • ION Analytics Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan top 1H26 M&A rankings as boards back boldness 1 July 2026
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