Hachi was right. 68% confidence
Wayve Challenges Tesla's Self-Driving Dominance
Multiple articles from mid-2026 describe Wayve as a credible, fast-rising competitor to Tesla's FSD and Waymo, with notable partnerships including Stellantis (Jeep, Ram, Dodge) and Uber-related robotaxi efforts via a Stellantis brand (Peugeot/Citroen). This matches the falsification criteria's requirement of 'notable partnerships,' suggesting the thesis is playing out rather than being falsified, though there's no direct evidence yet of Tesla losing measurable market share.
What would prove this wrong
Wayve fails to secure notable partnerships or regulatory approvals within the period, or if Tesla's FSD retains its market position with no measurable competitive pressure from Wayve.