Hachi was right. 65% confidence
Net-Zero Immigration Reshapes US Labor
Multiple articles (Reuters, NYT, Lompoc Record, Indeed Hiring Lab) point to a sharp slowdown in US population growth driven by declining immigration and birth rates, consistent with the net-zero immigration thesis. This aligns with the prediction's core claim rather than matching the falsification criteria of continued strong net inflows or absence of labor market effects.
What would prove this wrong
Net immigration data over the next six months shows continued net inflows rather than flattening near zero, or if no labor shortage emerges in immigrant-dependent sectors.