Hachi was wrong. 30% confidence
UK Mortgage Market Sees Modest Rise
While earlier articles (June-September 2026) showed mortgage approvals rising to multi-month highs and house prices ticking up, supporting the original stabilization thesis, more recent October 2026 articles report a global bond sell-off driving up borrowing costs and causing 'mortgage shock' for UK homeowners. This latter development matches the falsification criteria of rising costs/rates triggering market stress rather than continued stabilization, suggesting the positive trend has reversed.
What would prove this wrong
UK mortgage approval figures reverse and decline in subsequent readings, or if property tax policy changes trigger a housing market slowdown rather than stabilization.