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Hachi was right. 68% confidence

COBOL Dependence Creates IT Modernization Crisis

Multiple articles from mid-2026 continue to discuss IT modernization efforts, legacy system dependence, and new AI-driven approaches (e.g., GenAI, Claude Code) targeting government and enterprise legacy infrastructure, indicating sustained momentum and investment interest in modernization. No article suggests spending has stalled or that legacy systems remain unaddressed, which would have matched the falsification criteria.

Predicted 23 October 2025
Validated 13 May 2026
Horizon short
What would prove this wrong

Government and private-sector spending on IT modernization and COBOL system replacement does not increase, or legacy systems remain unaddressed with no new investment announced.

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Supporting articles

  • Socialnomics.net How GenAI is Rewriting Legacy Tech Modernization Rules? 8 June 2026
  • GovCIO Media & Research The Tortoise, Not the Hare: Why Phased IT Modernization Wins 21 May 2026
  • Anthropic Claude Code for State and Local Governments 22 May 2026
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