Hachi was here. 40% confidence
EV Market Maturation Drives Incentive Changes
None of the retrieved articles specifically address other mature EV markets (e.g., US, EU, China) scaling back or expanding incentives following Norway's example; coverage instead focuses on general market growth forecasts, emerging market adoption, and OEM supply-side pullback. Without direct evidence of incentive rollbacks or expansions in mature markets, the falsification criteria cannot be clearly triggered either way, though the OEM pullback article offers weak tangential support.
What would prove this wrong
Other mature EV markets maintain or expand current incentive levels rather than scaling them back over the period.