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Cybercrime Escalation Spurs Security Investments

News confirms cybercrime and scam losses continue rising globally (articles 1-7), matching the 'rising losses' half of the prediction, but there is little direct evidence of corresponding surges in AI fraud-detection spending or product launches beyond general dark-web AI tool proliferation. Without clear reporting on security investment growth, the falsification criteria are partially but not fully met, leaving the trend unconfirmed either way.

Predicted 17 October 2025
Validated 16 September 2026
Horizon short
What would prove this wrong

Reported losses from this scam category continue rising with no corresponding increase in company spending or product launches for AI-based fraud detection.

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Supporting articles

  • Infosecurity Magazine Infosecurity Europe: AI-Powered Cybercrime Tools Surge on Dark Web 3 June 2026

Contradicting articles

  • Dallas News For the first time, the FBI is tracking AI scams. The losses are already massive 5 May 2026
  • Industrial Cyber Asia-Pacific cyber threat environment intensifies as INTERPOL records surge in ransomware, phishing, DDoS attacks 24 June 2026
  • wcvb.com FBI warns of 'banking spoof call' scams. Here's how it works 6 May 2026
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