Hachi was right. 85% confidence
Political Instability Drives Safe Havens
The news article supports the prediction by highlighting a clear shift in demand towards investment in gold, a traditional safe-haven asset, alongside rising prices. This directly aligns with the prediction that capital would be driven towards such assets for preservation.
What would prove this wrong
Despite continued political instability or shutdown headlines, capital flows instead favor risk assets (equities, crypto) over the period, or gold and government bond prices decline rather than rise.