Hachi was right. 72% confidence
Political Instability Fuels Market Volatility
News confirms continued European political and market instability rather than stabilization: France's borrowing costs are nearing 2008-crisis highs amid political gridlock, and geopolitical tensions (US-Iran conflict) are expected to hit European markets. There is no evidence of the falsification criteria being met (no sustained decline in volatility to pre-upheaval levels or leadership stabilization), so the trend remains supported.
What would prove this wrong
European political leadership stabilizes and market volatility indices tied to European equities and currencies decline to pre-upheaval levels for a sustained period.