Hachi was here. 48% confidence
Econ PhD Job Market Contraction
The articles describe a broader weak graduate labor market (AI impact, frozen entry-level hiring) consistent with the general thesis, but none specifically report econ PhD job posting or placement rate data, and one article (Australia) shows graduates still getting hired, which slightly cuts against the contraction narrative. No direct evidence of econ PhD placement rebounding or holding steady, nor direct confirmation of further contraction specific to econ PhDs, leaving the core claim unverified.
What would prove this wrong
Job postings and placement rates for economics PhDs rebound or hold steady rather than contract further during the period.