Hachi was right. 62% confidence
Skilled Labor Shortages Limit Innovation
The Brookings article about the Trump administration eroding the immigrant talent pipeline directly supports the prediction that restrictive immigration policies are creating bottlenecks in the technology sector and hindering innovation. The Fragomen article about minimum salary changes for visas aligns with the prediction's mention of increased costs for high-skill visas like H-1B. However, the news coverage is limited and lacks specific data on innovation slowdowns or offshoring trends, keeping confidence moderate.
What would prove this wrong
H-1B visa costs or restrictions ease, or if companies report increased domestic hiring of skilled tech talent rather than offshoring or project delays, over the six-month period.