Hachi was wrong. 30% confidence
Supply Chain De-Risking Accelerates
Multiple recent articles report companies reversing prior diversification efforts and moving manufacturing back to China due to difficulties replicating its supply ecosystem elsewhere, directly matching the falsification criteria of concentration holding steady or increasing. While some diversification continues (e.g., Indonesia's Batam, solar manufacturing shifts), the dominant recent narrative is a partial reversal of the 'China-plus-one' de-risking trend rather than acceleration.
What would prove this wrong
Corporate sourcing data or earnings commentary over the next six months shows supply chain concentration in single-source Southeast Asian manufacturing holding steady or increasing rather than diversifying.
Supporting articles
Contradicting articles
- Yahoo Entertainment Companies left China to dodge tariffs. Now some are heading back 14 September 2026
- The Times of India From India to Vietnam: Why some firms are rethinking the China-plus-one strategy 14 September 2026
- Modern Diplomacy Why Are Some Companies Bringing Manufacturing Back to China Despite US Tariffs? 14 September 2026