Hachi was wrong. 25% confidence
US-China Tech Tensions Reshape Markets
The articles suggest a counter-trend to the predicted decoupling. Germany is reportedly 'turning back to China' due to economic realities, contradicting the notion of companies re-evaluating supply chains away from China. Furthermore, high-level negotiations between the US and China point to a 'Cold Peace' and managed relations rather than an accelerating separation.
What would prove this wrong
US-China tech restrictions ease or stall over the period, with no new decoupling actions (forced divestitures, export bans, supply chain relocations) announced by companies or regulators.