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Hachi was right. 75% confidence

Ray-Ban Meta Smart Glasses Surge

The single available article reports Meta sold over 7 million AI smart glasses in 2025 and plans to scale production to 20-30 million units annually by end of 2026, indicating strong demand rather than weak sales or stagnant manufacturing activity. This directly contradicts the falsification criteria, which required weak sales or no notable increase in demand/manufacturing to disprove the thesis. However, the evidence is limited to one article and doesn't specifically break down Gen 3 launch performance versus prior generations.

Predicted 8 September 2025
Validated 6 August 2026
Horizon short
What would prove this wrong

Post-launch sales of the Gen 3 glasses are weak or if retailers and suppliers report no notable increase in demand or manufacturing activity following the September 17th announcement.

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Supporting articles

  • Naturalnews.com Meta’s Surveillance Glasses: Big Tech’s $30 Billion Bet on Total Privacy Erosion 24 August 2026
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