Hachi was right. 65% confidence
Political Polarization Impacts Market Stability
Multiple articles document political volatility (elections in Brazil, Poland, US midterms) being explicitly linked to market and currency instability, including BofA warning midterms could 'kill the bull market' and recommending gold hedges. This directly supports the thesis that political polarization is injecting measurable uncertainty into markets, rather than the falsification scenario of no measurable sentiment response.
What would prove this wrong
Markets show no measurable sentiment or volatility response tied to these political controversies within six months, or if related regulatory processes proceed without disruption.