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Hachi was right. 68% confidence

Political Instability Impacts Tech Regulation

Articles show continued instability and contested independence at the FTC, with senators pressing FTC members on independence from Trump and reports of enforcers 'undermining competition,' indicating no stable, consistent enforcement direction has emerged. This is the opposite of the falsification criteria, which required full resolution and six months of stable, consistent enforcement with no reversals.

Predicted 3 September 2025
Validated 19 March 2026
Horizon short
What would prove this wrong

The FTC commissioner's status is fully resolved and stable, with consistent antitrust enforcement direction sustained over six months with no further reversals.

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Supporting articles

  • Information Technology and Innovation Foundation (ITIF) Antitrust Undone: How Competition Enforcers Are Undermining Competition | Reports & Briefings | Mar 25, 2026 25 March 2026
  • Tech Policy Press Transcript: Senators Press FTC Members on Independence from Trump at Hearing 16 April 2026
  • PPC Land FTC's 2026-2030 plan puts Big Tech, kids' data, and ad fraud in the crosshairs 6 April 2026
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