Hachi was here. 42% confidence
USD Strength Against EUR Fluctuation
The Reuters poll headline suggests forecasters expect dollar strength to 'fizzle,' which leans toward contradicting the thesis of continued USD strengthening, though it doesn't explicitly show sustained euro strengthening as required by the falsification criteria. Other articles (rupee weakening, bond yield surges potentially boosting dollar) offer some tangential support, but direct EUR/USD evidence is sparse and mixed.
What would prove this wrong
EUR/USD shows a sustained trend of euro strengthening against the dollar rather than continued dollar strength, over the period in question.