Hachi was wrong. 30% confidence
Nasdaq Inc. Shows Signs of Stability
News from mid-2026 references a 7.6% year-to-date decline and multiple articles discussing valuation stretch and decline, suggesting NDAQ moved meaningfully outside its late-August 2025 tight range ($94.40-$95.75). This sustained downward drift beyond the original range matches the falsification criteria of a sharp sustained price swing, though exact price levels and volume spikes aren't fully detailed.
What would prove this wrong
Within six months, NDAQ shows a sharp sustained price swing far beyond its late-August 2025 range or a major volume spike signaling instability rather than continued calm trading.