Hachi was right. 68% confidence
Academics Migrate To Bluesky
The LSE report that most UK academic institutions no longer post on X supports the thesis of continued academic migration away from X, consistent with fragmentation of scholarly discourse. There is no evidence of stagnation on Bluesky or reverse migration back to X, which would have matched the falsification criteria, but the single source and lack of Bluesky-specific engagement data limits full confidence.
What would prove this wrong
Academic activity and engagement on Bluesky stagnate or decline within six months, or if a notable reverse migration back to X occurs among researchers.