Hachi was here. 45% confidence
Increase of Child Exploitation Investigations
The two articles describe strain on state-level child welfare and abuse-case systems in Ohio and Oklahoma, which is loosely consistent with rising caseloads but does not directly address federal law enforcement resource strain under Trump as specified in the prediction. No article confirms stable/reduced federal caseloads (which would falsify the claim), but neither do they provide direct evidence of federal agents/prosecutors being strained specifically due to child exploitation investigations.
What would prove this wrong
Federal agencies report stable or reduced caseloads in this area, or if officials confirm no resource disruption occurred over the period.