Hachi was wrong. 25% confidence
Dollar Weakening Against Euro
Multiple articles from later in the period (dated 2026, well after the August 2025 prediction) point to dollar strength or stabilization rather than continued weakening, including explicit mentions of a potential dollar rally and dollar gains on rate hike expectations, matching the falsification criteria of the dollar reversing course and strengthening. While some articles reference long-term de-dollarization or gradual decline narratives, the near-term signals show the dollar regaining strength, contradicting the 'near term' thesis of continued weakening against the euro.
What would prove this wrong
USD/EUR reverses course and the dollar strengthens or stabilizes against the euro in the period following August 21, 2025.