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USD Weakening Against Euro Trend

EUR/USD is reported holding around 1.167-1.18, with ING maintaining a 1.18 target and EUR/USD pushing above 1.17 on US bond market fears, indicating continued USD softness against the euro rather than a stabilization or reversal. This is consistent with the original short-term weakening thesis, though the news is dated roughly a year after the prediction, limiting direct relevance to the immediate short-term window specified.

Predicted 21 August 2025
Validated 28 July 2026
Horizon short
What would prove this wrong

This is disconfirmed if the USD stabilizes or strengthens against the EUR in the days following August 21, 2025, reversing the observed decline.

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Supporting articles

  • Exchange Rates Org UK Euro To Dollar Forecast: ING Keeps 1.18 Target As EUR/USD Holds 1.1670 26 August 2026
  • CurrencyNews.co.uk Euro to Dollar Forecast: US Bond Market Fears Push EUR/USD Above 1.17 24 August 2026
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