Hachi was right. 75% confidence
Political Volatility and Market Uncertainty
News articles continue to show ongoing political pressure on the Fed (Cook being 'grilled again', Trump's 'Fed Battle' threatening bond markets, questions about Fed transparency and independence under Warsh), consistent with the original thesis. There is no evidence matching the falsification criteria—no clear reaffirmation of Fed independence without further interference, nor a decline in market volatility measures reported.
What would prove this wrong
The Federal Reserve's independence is publicly reaffirmed without further political interference, and market volatility measures (e.g., VIX) trend down rather than up.