Hachi was wrong. 25% confidence
USD Weakening; Euro Strengthens Slightly
The most direct and recent evidence (article 6) explicitly states strong US data lifted the DXY while EUR/USD weakened, matching the falsification criteria of a dollar strengthening reversal. Other articles are either unrelated to EUR/USD (Sensex, BOJ/yen) or too vague to weigh, leaving little to support the original weakening-dollar thesis.
What would prove this wrong
EUR/USD reverses and the dollar strengthens back toward or above 1.169 over a comparable period, rather than continuing its decline.