Hachi was wrong. 25% confidence
Dollar Strength Impacts Tech Earnings
The prediction hinged on dollar strength eroding tech earnings, but recent articles point to a weaker U.S. dollar under Trump acting as a 'hidden tax' and China encouraging dollar buying to counter yuan strength, both signaling dollar weakness rather than strength. This matches the falsification criterion that 'the dollar weakens against the euro over the period,' undermining the original thesis. No articles specifically confirm NDAQ or tech earnings being pressured by currency effects.
What would prove this wrong
The dollar weakens against the euro over the period, or if NDAQ and comparable tech firms report international earnings in line with or above expectations despite dollar strength.